Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.004512 0.005086 0.005736 0.006535 0.007498 0.008634 0.010096
2026-01-04 0.003751 0.004484 0.005390 0.006616 0.008269 0.010486 0.013801
2026-01-11 0.003260 0.004047 0.005075 0.006560 0.008734 0.011946 0.017383
2026-01-18 0.002941 0.003758 0.004874 0.006575 0.009240 0.013532 0.021700
2026-01-25 0.002651 0.003462 0.004607 0.006426 0.009436 0.014646 0.025641
2026-02-01 0.002386 0.003167 0.004297 0.006152 0.009355 0.015235 0.028802
2026-02-08 0.002165 0.002912 0.004015 0.005874 0.009205 0.015643 0.031757
2026-02-15 0.002056 0.002810 0.003952 0.005942 0.009678 0.017403 0.039041
2026-02-22 0.001922 0.002659 0.003795 0.005826 0.009776 0.018394 0.044914
2026-03-01 0.001796 0.002507 0.003623 0.005659 0.009743 0.019076 0.050376
2026-03-08 0.001690 0.002382 0.003482 0.005532 0.009765 0.019902 0.057096
2026-03-15 0.001648 0.002354 0.003499 0.005696 0.010440 0.022641 0.074461
2026-03-22 0.001612 0.002337 0.003545 0.005944 0.011415 0.026832 0.107259
2026-03-29 0.001549 0.002273 0.003502 0.006014 0.012002 0.030256 0.146019
2026-04-05 0.001475 0.002185 0.003408 0.005965 0.012285 0.032861 0.189157
2026-04-12 0.001417 0.002118 0.003348 0.005978 0.012736 0.036405 0.260877
2026-04-19 0.001345 0.002025 0.003229 0.005848 0.012764 0.038324 0.328734
2026-04-26 0.001266 0.001914 0.003069 0.005607 0.012427 0.038520 0.374733
2026-05-03 0.001193 0.001809 0.002914 0.005363 0.012039 0.038335 0.417561
2026-05-10 0.001160 0.001775 0.002893 0.005423 0.012583 0.043064 0.657399
2026-05-17 0.001112 0.001710 0.002806 0.005320 0.012599 0.045154 0.883571
2026-05-24 0.001063 0.001640 0.002705 0.005174 0.012446 0.046256 1.126415
2026-05-31 0.001020 0.001580 0.002622 0.005061 0.012387 0.047945 1.535498